If you’ve read my baseball stuff in the past, listened to me on my podcast “Sports Brunch with Chris and Joe,” or just had a casual conversation with me you know how big of an advanced stat guy I am. Well I’m here today to hopefully bring some of you to my side and show you how wonderful, exciting, predictive, and interesting advanced statistics really are.
Let me begin with a quick quiz: define regression.
I bet most of you think you know the definition, but missed a very important aspect. Regression is in no way a negative term. Although most of the time it is used it has a negative connotation, regression is simply defined as the phenomenon that if a variable is extreme on its first measurement, it will tend to be closer to the average on its second measurement (thanks Wikipedia). To put this into everyday terms, if…
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